Modelled raw-mark tables

ESAT percentile tables

Every raw mark from 0 to 27, for all five modules.

UAT-UK publishes no raw-mark conversion. Scores and percentiles below both use an assumed raw-mark distribution. Only the 4.5 median and 7.0 90th-percentile score-scale anchors are published.

Read the method

Mathematics 1

Assumed median raw mark: 15/27.

Raw	Est. score	Est. percentile
0/27	1.0	1
1/27	1.0	1
2/27	1.0	1
3/27	1.0	1
4/27	1.0	1
5/27	1.0	1
6/27	1.0	1
7/27	1.0	1
8/27	1.0	2
9/27	1.2	4
10/27	1.8	9
11/27	2.5	15
12/27	3.0	22
13/27	3.5	31
14/27	4.0	40
15/27	4.5	50
16/27	5.0	60
17/27	5.4	69
18/27	5.9	77
19/27	6.4	84
20/27	6.9	89
21/27	7.5	94
22/27	8.0	97
23/27	8.7	98
24/27	9.0	99
25/27	9.0	99
26/27	9.0	99
27/27	9.0	99

Mathematics 2

Assumed median raw mark: 12/27.

Raw	Est. score	Est. percentile
0/27	1.0	1
1/27	1.0	1
2/27	1.0	1
3/27	1.0	1
4/27	1.0	1
5/27	1.0	1
6/27	1.0	1
7/27	1.0	2
8/27	1.7	8
9/27	2.6	16
10/27	3.3	27
11/27	3.9	38
12/27	4.5	50
13/27	5.0	61
14/27	5.6	71
15/27	6.1	79
16/27	6.6	85
17/27	7.1	90
18/27	7.5	94
19/27	8.1	97
20/27	8.6	98
21/27	9.0	99
22/27	9.0	99
23/27	9.0	99
24/27	9.0	99
25/27	9.0	99
26/27	9.0	99
27/27	9.0	99

Physics

Assumed median raw mark: 13/27.

Raw	Est. score	Est. percentile
0/27	1.0	1
1/27	1.0	1
2/27	1.0	1
3/27	1.0	1
4/27	1.0	1
5/27	1.0	1
6/27	1.0	1
7/27	1.0	1
8/27	1.2	5
9/27	2.1	11
10/27	2.8	19
11/27	3.4	29
12/27	4.0	39
13/27	4.5	50
14/27	5.0	60
15/27	5.5	70
16/27	6.0	78
17/27	6.5	84
18/27	7.0	90
19/27	7.5	93
20/27	8.0	96
21/27	8.5	98
22/27	9.0	99
23/27	9.0	99
24/27	9.0	99
25/27	9.0	99
26/27	9.0	99
27/27	9.0	99

Chemistry

Assumed median raw mark: 14/27.

Raw	Est. score	Est. percentile
0/27	1.0	1
1/27	1.0	1
2/27	1.0	1
3/27	1.0	1
4/27	1.0	1
5/27	1.0	1
6/27	1.0	1
7/27	1.0	1
8/27	1.0	3
9/27	1.6	7
10/27	2.3	13
11/27	2.9	21
12/27	3.5	30
13/27	4.0	40
14/27	4.5	50
15/27	5.0	60
16/27	5.5	69
17/27	5.9	77
18/27	6.4	84
19/27	6.9	89
20/27	7.4	93
21/27	7.9	96
22/27	8.5	98
23/27	9.0	99
24/27	9.0	99
25/27	9.0	99
26/27	9.0	99
27/27	9.0	99

Biology

Assumed median raw mark: 14/27.

Raw	Est. score	Est. percentile
0/27	1.0	1
1/27	1.0	1
2/27	1.0	1
3/27	1.0	1
4/27	1.0	1
5/27	1.0	1
6/27	1.0	1
7/27	1.0	1
8/27	1.0	3
9/27	1.7	7
10/27	2.4	14
11/27	3.0	22
12/27	3.5	31
13/27	4.0	40
14/27	4.5	50
15/27	5.0	60
16/27	5.4	68
17/27	5.9	76
18/27	6.4	83
19/27	6.8	88
20/27	7.3	93
21/27	7.9	96
22/27	8.4	98
23/27	9.0	99
24/27	9.0	99
25/27	9.0	99
26/27	9.0	99
27/27	9.0	99

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